Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 862.831639 977.468486 1105.895744 1261.242586 1445.137371 1657.213163 1922.217442
2025-04-20 705.501352 859.187505 1048.169407 1301.085864 1636.021166 2072.125842 2696.127060
2025-04-27 614.114684 782.002342 1000.864400 1313.632848 1760.312955 2393.552121 3394.507571
2025-05-04 553.369516 730.160002 971.752588 1336.256578 1891.308225 2739.071137 4206.292567
2025-05-11 505.309846 686.674443 944.487431 1351.908432 2008.072165 3079.623266 5097.215035
2025-05-18 476.061601 664.821914 943.225475 1403.023824 2185.010133 3550.174144 6354.094769
2025-05-25 444.409350 635.012176 925.053001 1422.616170 2310.303808 3955.893005 7620.359179
2025-06-01 412.588582 601.131138 895.802679 1418.238492 2390.483475 4293.061201 8860.362844
2025-06-08 384.518061 570.075434 867.139840 1409.875240 2460.149042 4623.212150 10209.260344
2025-06-15 366.850585 553.761105 860.569170 1439.110768 2606.430968 5148.395316 12274.569938
2025-06-22 338.654098 517.654406 816.673726 1393.299804 2592.182907 5311.517570 13420.338653
2025-06-29 314.656332 486.624853 778.644479 1353.793564 2584.302399 5487.728041 14691.804652
2025-07-06 290.512963 454.366863 737.048665 1305.383031 2556.047401 5625.761096 15985.997485
2025-07-13 281.447891 447.479462 740.656613 1348.359338 2743.478816 6380.953423 19934.038021
2025-07-20 269.249142 433.968601 730.535859 1361.324991 2862.975033 6990.925311 23817.593979
2025-07-27 259.457126 423.917550 725.841038 1385.010384 3013.794525 7746.378773 29014.823589
2025-08-03 249.629137 412.989919 718.332254 1401.384508 3149.646829 8508.177242 35059.505619
2025-08-10 244.532804 410.370063 726.795597 1454.881664 3397.127217 9744.964851 45291.465987
2025-08-17 236.367816 401.317258 721.419858 1475.393031 3557.940371 10750.843343 55712.874725
2025-08-24 226.420899 388.139772 706.399989 1470.809709 3645.197445 11521.176190 65851.534427
2025-08-31 216.853919 375.060182 690.485722 1462.054054 3718.717900 12275.682693 77410.242788
2025-09-07 211.362042 369.602573 690.233058 1492.664010 3923.714376 13703.199413 98707.701349
2025-09-14 199.770340 351.290768 660.844892 1444.702747 3863.268079 13900.705690 107732.461054